Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.021936 0.023558 0.025247 0.027139 0.029200 0.031380 0.033865
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.018981 0.021281 0.023800 0.026771 0.030191 0.034017 0.038637
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017102 0.019801 0.022871 0.026640 0.031166 0.036455 0.043146
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015576 0.018499 0.021927 0.026272 0.031673 0.038216 0.046823
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014567 0.017683 0.021435 0.026324 0.032588 0.040426 0.051102
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013547 0.016755 0.020702 0.025973 0.032905 0.041825 0.054358
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012605 0.015845 0.019913 0.025459 0.032928 0.042783 0.057023
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011896 0.015181 0.019380 0.025221 0.033262 0.044129 0.060256
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011262 0.014571 0.018872 0.024966 0.033527 0.045360 0.063367
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010588 0.013867 0.018194 0.024424 0.033340 0.045913 0.065493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010254 0.013602 0.018088 0.024659 0.034247 0.048061 0.070107
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009868 0.013241 0.017826 0.024648 0.034782 0.049675 0.073994
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009600 0.013036 0.017774 0.024941 0.035787 0.052062 0.079288
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009169 0.012580 0.017343 0.024650 0.035891 0.053070 0.082431
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008825 0.012231 0.017048 0.024541 0.036256 0.054493 0.086340
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008443 0.011809 0.016623 0.024209 0.036247 0.055305 0.089259
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008192 0.011568 0.016454 0.024257 0.036833 0.057102 0.093989
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007860 0.011192 0.016064 0.023938 0.036804 0.057870 0.096944
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007511 0.010776 0.015597 0.023471 0.036504 0.058156 0.099032
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007246 0.010478 0.015296 0.023255 0.036603 0.059119 0.102421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006993 0.010188 0.014995 0.023023 0.036658 0.060000 0.105707
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006692 0.009814 0.014549 0.022531 0.036239 0.060015 0.107320
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006571 0.009715 0.014531 0.022744 0.037048 0.062266 0.113457